Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000172 0.000192 0.000214 0.000239 0.000266 0.000296 0.000331
2025-07-06 0.000142 0.000170 0.000201 0.000239 0.000284 0.000335 0.000399
2025-07-13 0.000120 0.000151 0.000188 0.000236 0.000295 0.000367 0.000461
2025-07-20 0.000107 0.000141 0.000184 0.000242 0.000317 0.000413 0.000542
2025-07-27 0.000095 0.000131 0.000178 0.000244 0.000333 0.000451 0.000617
2025-08-03 0.000085 0.000121 0.000171 0.000244 0.000346 0.000485 0.000688
2025-08-10 0.000075 0.000112 0.000164 0.000241 0.000355 0.000514 0.000754
2025-08-17 0.000069 0.000106 0.000160 0.000243 0.000369 0.000550 0.000834
2025-08-24 0.000062 0.000099 0.000153 0.000240 0.000374 0.000575 0.000896
2025-08-31 0.000057 0.000093 0.000148 0.000239 0.000383 0.000604 0.000968
2025-09-07 0.000052 0.000088 0.000144 0.000239 0.000393 0.000636 0.001045
2025-09-14 0.000048 0.000083 0.000139 0.000237 0.000400 0.000662 0.001115
2025-09-21 0.000045 0.000080 0.000138 0.000240 0.000416 0.000705 0.001218
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000076 0.000135 0.000241 0.000428 0.000744 0.001316
2025-10-05 0.000038 0.000072 0.000130 0.000238 0.000434 0.000772 0.001399
2025-10-12 0.000037 0.000070 0.000131 0.000245 0.000456 0.000829 0.001537
2025-10-19 0.000034 0.000068 0.000129 0.000247 0.000471 0.000874 0.001654
2025-10-26 0.000032 0.000065 0.000126 0.000247 0.000481 0.000912 0.001763
2025-11-02 0.000030 0.000061 0.000122 0.000245 0.000487 0.000942 0.001859
2025-11-09 0.000028 0.000059 0.000120 0.000247 0.000501 0.000987 0.001987
2025-11-16 0.000026 0.000056 0.000116 0.000243 0.000504 0.001012 0.002077
2025-11-23 0.000024 0.000054 0.000113 0.000242 0.000511 0.001046 0.002188
2025-11-30 0.000023 0.000052 0.000111 0.000242 0.000521 0.001085 0.002311